FARMING IN THE EUSSR

– THE ROLLING STEPPES OF ANGLIA
Dixie Hughesby Dixie Hughes

If you’re too young to remember the harsh Communist-run Soviet Union (the USSR) and the long-running Cold War, which ended with the collapse of the Berlin Wall in 1988, then you probably don’t get the joke of referring to the European Union as the EUSSR.
FARMING Soviet tractor
Well it’s become a bad joke and the comparison has become a bit too close for comfort. The EU’s petty regulations, edicts, decrees and directives rule our lives in the UK in ways we are not even aware. From decreeing the maximum size container in which vegetable oil can be sold (5 litre) to how far away new housing must be from ‘heathland’ *(5 km) so as to protect certain wild birds from domestic cats.

(*Of course, even ‘heathland’ itself is specifically defined by EU regulation as well, which has raised a few disagreeing eyebrows.)

This foreign and authoritarian micro-management hits British farmers especially hard.

Naturally DEFRA (the UK’s Department of the Environment, Farming & Rural Affairs – much loved by country folk) and UK farmers have a multitude more EU petty regulations and directives to contend with – courtesy of the notorious and incoherent Common Agriculture Policy (CAP).

FARMERS measuring 2Just some of these determine: how many farm inspections there have to be in any given year; what proportion of those inspections have to be random; how much the fine will be if a farmer makes a mistake; how much he should be fined if he makes the same mistake twice.

A new one you may have heard about is: the precise dimensions of the EU plaque or billboard declaring that a farm is ‘EU funded’ – even though that funding can only be provided by the contribution of UK taxpayers to the CAP! This is legally enforceable with fines for failure to comply.

But struggling Farmer Giles has much more to contend with from the EU. Like the maximum permitted width of a gateway; the minimum and maximum permitted thickness of a hedge; what type of crop must be grown in the field beyond that hedge; whether a cabbage and a cauliflower are different crops or should be deemed the same crop.

The list interminably spewing out of Brussels goes on and on. Compliance with this plethora of farming regulations is enforced through a complex and dysfunctional system of penalties called ‘Disallowance’.

FARMERS reading regsAuditors working for the EU levy fixed fines on the UK government for any perceived breaches in the enforcement or administration of regulations.

However hard DEFRA and UK farmers try to abide by these myriad rules, it is inevitable that the British taxpayer is routinely stung by fines.

The UK is routinely fined some £100 million a year for a multitude of trivial perceived mistakes, few of which have any relevance to anything.

However, as with every other aspect of the EUSSR, the Common Agricultural Policy has proved completely impossible to change, ruthless and uncompromising.

Even if a farmer misses a support payment application because his wife is dying of cancer, the unforgiving system moves on like a tank and he is denied.

Of course, after BREXIT, the decision on vital subsidies to farmers will be purely a decision for Westminster. However, with flush coffers, a British Chancellor will now have the money to spend on farming where it is critically
needed.

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FARM ANIMALS mixed

COULD SOMEONE TRUMP TRUMP?

                Former Education Secretary under President Ronald Reagan and political pundit & host of the ‘Morning in America’ show

BENNETT Bill Morning in AmericaBILL BENNETT

is afraid that someone might

Bill Bennett claims he was recently told by a credible but unnamed source: ‘Don’t be surprised if Trump has an accident.’ POKER - Donald Trump Some big names are getting a bit twitchy. Barack Obama, Valerie Jarrett, Eric Holder, Hillary Clinton and Jon Corzine were just a few people mentioned by the source, who may be feeling a bit hot under the collar. Not that any of them would think of hiring an assassin – or even know how to. ACE of Spades

Apparently it’s all about the unholy alliance of big government, big business, big media and big bucks. They all enjoy the billions of dollars generated from the partnership, so it’s in all of their best interests to protect one another. All for one and one for all. But it’s a grubby relationship that makes everyone ‘filthy rich’ except the American people themselves.

Bennet says they’re the patsies, the ones who get ripped off. But – for once – the strong socialist lobby and corrupt crony capitalists are both scared. The over-the-top reaction to Donald Trump by both sides, the media and big American corporations has been so quick and incandescent that it suggests they feel seriously under threat. And, frankly, frightened.

The thing is, Donald Trump is his own man. He can fund himself. No matter how much is said to the contrary, the media, big business and the political establishment all realise that Trump is truly the joker in the pack. He could really upset their cosy apple-cart – to mess up not a few metaphors, too. It is no accident that the entire political establishment has united so quickly to destroy The Trump.

TRUMP Donald 1Because, the truth of it is, most other politicians are members of the Old Boys’ Club to which The Trump has never belonged. They may talk big, but they can’t change a thing because they are all beholden to big-money donors. These politicians are all owned by lobbyists, unions, lawyers, big environmental organisations and multinational corporations, like oil or pharmaceuticals.

Or, according to Bennett, they are owned lock-stock-and-barrel by foreigners. Like Obama is aNew York, Hillary Rodham Clinton slave to George Soros and Hillary is shackled to those who donate to the Clinton Foundation. Bennett argues that these mainstream politicians are all puppets controlled by big money. But The Trump is not beholden to anyone. This is one politician who does not need any foreigner, foreign government, George Soros, multiple trade unions or the lawyers’ Bar Association to pay for his campaign.

Billionaire tycoon Donald Trump doesn’t need anyone’s help. He doesn’t care what the media says. He doesn’t care what corporate or political elites think. That makes him very dangerous to vested interests, because they can’t get to him. He is The Untouchable.

That makes The Trump a huge threat to those people, says Bennet, because he can ruin everything for the bribed politicians and their spoiled slave masters. Bennett asks why the GOP never tried to impeach President Obama?OBAMA barak concern Also why John Boehner and Mitch McConnell talked a big game but never really tried to stop the President? Does anyone wonder why Congress, which holds the purse strings, never tried to unfund Obamacare or the President’s perceived illegal executive action on amnesty for illegal immigrants? Bennett claims this defies all logic.

He claims his best guess is that many key Republicans are being bribed and others blackmailed. That may be that they are having elicit affairs, are secretly gay or are filching money from the public purse…the National Security Agency, Bennett says, knows everything about everyone. NSA He cites the example of former House Speaker Dennis Hastert. The government even knew he was withdrawing large sums of his own money from his own bank account. The NSA, the SEC, the IRS and all the other three-letter government agencies are watching every Republican political player. They scrutinise everything.

Bennett also believes that many Republicans are terrified of being labelled ‘racists’. For that reason they hesitate to ever criticise Obama or name his perceived ‘crimes’, let alone campaign for his impeachment. And anyway, Bennett argues why would they rock the boat? After defeat or retirement, if you’re a ‘good old boy’ you land a $5 million-a-year lobbying job at the very least. The big-money interests have the system covered. There’s no win or lose for them, it’s always win-win.

But The Trump doesn’t play by any of these rules. Donald Trump breaks up the nice cosy relationship between big government, big media and big business. All those rules will be out of the window if Trump enters the White House. Other politicians may protect Obama, but not Trump.

It was he who publically questioned Obama’s birth certificate. He dared to query Obama’s college records and how a mediocre student got into an Ivy League university? Bennett points out that Trump is now doing what no Republican has ever had the ‘chutzpah’ to do.

He’s actually questioning America’s relationship with Mexico. Why is the border still wide open? Is allowing millions of illegal immigrants in America’s best interests? And why are they not deported when so many commit crimes of violence? And why are Washington’s trade deals with Mexico, Russia and China so bad?

Trump has the audacity to ask aloud why American workers always seem to get a raw deal? Bennett is certain Trump will question what happened to the $billion dollars given in a rigged no-bid contact to former college friends of Michelle Obama in foreign companies to build the defective Obamacare website. Bennett claims the tab for that disaster has now hit $5billion. He reckons Trump will demand that Obamacare’s architects be charged with fraud for selling it under false pretences. Obama’s college records will be small fry compared to a Trump investigation into the alleged widespread IRS conspiracy.

Trump will prosecute Clinton and Obama, Bennett believes, for fraud committed to cover up Benghazi before the last election. Also in the firing line may be the employees of the Labor Department who allegedly falsified dramatically improved jobs numbers just prior to the 2012 vote. Obama, the multinationals and the media all feel The Trump must be stopped at all costs.

According to Bennett, all are afraid things will get out of control with the raw truth being told in answer to questions that everyone else has been afraid to ask. The man’s election would be a living nightmare for them, because no one but Trump would dare to prosecute. If Trump gets in and looks at the books and Obama’s records, the game will be over, Bennett says. OBAMACARE logo Obamacare will be de-funded and dismantled. Obama himself could wind up ruined, his legacy in tatters. Because Trump will investigate and he will prosecute. He will go after everyone involved. There will be no hiding place. That is why the dogs of hell have been unleashed, claims Bennett. DOGS of HELL 1 And that is why it is now Open Season on Donald Trump. Both Left and Right are out to attack his policies, damage his businesses and – if possible – keep him out of coming public debates. ‘But they can’t silence him,’ Bennett says. ‘And they sure can’t intimidate him. The more they try, the more the public will realise that he is the one telling the truth.’ TRUMP supporters

‘BREXIT’ – HOW THE EU REFERENDUM WILL WORK

Prime Minister David Cameron has announced that a National Referendum is to be held on Britain’s continuing membership of the European Union on

Thursday 23 June 2016.

WHO CAN VOTE?
As with Parliamentary Elections, British, Irish and Commonwealth citizens (aged over 18) who live in Britain – and British nationals who have lived overseas for less than 15 years – will be permitted to vote in the EU Referendum.

 Additionally members of the House of Lords – and citizens of Gibraltar who are eligible to vote in EU parliamentary elections – will be allowed to vote.

Other citizens of EU countries living in Britain – other than those of Ireland, Cyprus and Malta – WILL NOT have a vote.

 WHAT IS THE QUESTION?
The question on the ballot paper will read:

“Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?”

Voters choose between two answers:
Remain a member of the European Union
Or
Leave the European Union
BREXIT Election 5  Poll FormHOW LONG WILL THE CAMPAIGN LAST?
EU Referendum law demands a campaign period of at least 10 weeks prior to voting.

Before the official campaign period can begin, legislation must be passed through Parliament to set out the details of the vote, including its date. The Government anticipates that process to take around six weeks.

HOW MUCH CAN THE CAMPAIGN GROUPS SPEND?
For the duration of the campaign, the Electoral Commission (Britain’s electoral watchdog) can designate a leading ‘group’ on each side of the debate. Those lead groups may each spend up to £7 million and receive a public grant of £600,000 from the taxpayer. Each is also allowed campaign media broadcasts and one free postal mailing to voters.

Any OTHER campaigning groups can each spend up to a £700,000 limit. Anyone intending to support such groups and the groups themselves must declare any donations above £7,500 received after 1st February 2016.
BREXIT Election 1-C
HOW MUCH CAN POLITCAL PARTIES SPEND?
Spending limits for Political Parties are governed by the percentage of the vote they won in last year’s General Election.
Therefore the ruling Conservative Party of Prime Minister David Cameron can spend up to £7 million, the Labour Party £5.5 million, the anti-EU UK Independence Party (UKIP) £4 million and the Liberal Democrats £3 million. All other parties are limited to £700,000.

BREXIT Election 3-CHowever, the Conservative Party has promised that it will remain neutral, allowing no Party funds, personnel or facilities to be used by either side of the argument.
It is not so clear whether the European Union itself will feel legally constrained from bringing its powerful and extravagant influence to bear on the UK voters’ decision-making process.

HOW WILL THE GOVERNMENT CAMPAIGN?
Nevertheless David Cameron has declared that he will campaign with all his “heart and soul” to persuade voters to stay in the European Union, warning that to leave will be “a leap in the dark”.

No 10’s influence has quickly been used to persuade big business names to back its view to ‘Stay’, but there have noticeably been twice as many decliners than those who agreed to sign letters to the media.

Similarly favours have been called in from former MOD top brass now in the House of Lords to express security concerns over exiting the EU, despite the fact that it is NATO, not Brussels, that is responsible for defence.
Interestingly, General David Richards did not participate.

The official Government position is to back ‘Stay’, but six of the Prime Minister’s top Cabinet members have so far rebelled to campaign for ‘Leave’ the EU. After some hesitation, top MP and London Mayor, Boris Johnson has lent his considerable weight to the ‘Leave’ side.

A ’Purdah’ will be applied to the government itself, barring it from publishing anything in the 28 days prior to the Referendum that could influence the outcome of the vote.

WHAT HAPPENS ON THE DAY?
Polling will be open from 7am-10pm GMT. Counting will begin at the earliest time possible and will continue overnight.

Twelve counting centres will be used for collating votes and the final result declared in Manchester.
BREXIT Election 4-C This article was especially written for
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DEAL OR NO DEAL? What Cameron actually got from the EU

British Prime Minister David Cameron claimed in triumph that he had agreed a “new settlement” with the European Union.

But how does that Brussels deal actually square with his original declared aims of what he wanted for the United Kingdom?

Closer Political Union

The UK wanted explicit exemption from the EU’s commitment to ever-closer integration of all nations into a single federal European state.
EU 41 -USE flag
The UK got an unqualified and undefined promise that “the United Kingdom…is not committed to further political integration in the European Union. References to ever-closer union do not apply to the United Kingdom.”

Previous acts of integration remain and are irreversible.

Economic Governance

The UK wanted guaranteed protection for the City of London from any disadvantaging decisions made by the ‘Eurozone’ countries, which was considered by Chancellor George Osborne to be a crucial issue.
CITY of LONDON 2
The UK got a vague promise to ensure “the coexistence between two different perspectives.” Britain can delay some decisions by the 19 Eurozone nations and force a summit discussion between all 28 national leaders. But the UK has no veto.

Welfare

The UK wanted EU migrants to be banned from claiming in-work benefits (until they had contributed to the welfare system) for four years – effectively an “emergency brake” that could be applied for up to the next13 years.
JOBLESS
The UK got permission to apply that brake for only the next 7 years. It cannot affect those already in the UK and cannot be introduced until late 2017.

Child Benefit

The UK wanted to implement the Tory manifesto pledge to end child benefit to EU workers who leave their children back in their native country. This currently applies to only some 40,000 families.
CHILDREN East Europe-C
The UK got agreement vaguely to adjust payments only to new migrants that will be linked to their cost-of-living back in their home nation. This will only start to apply to workers already here from 2020.

This item was written for the independent

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HOW THE EU REALLY WORKS – IT MAY SHOCK YOU

According to recent revelations, the European Union is run on the lines that Adolf Hitler had pretty much planned to organise and administer the Fourth Reich once he had conquered the Continent.

Adolf Hitler-C

It also resembles the structure of the former Communist Soviet Union, giving rise to that joke about the EU being the EUSSR – a joke that’s starting to wear a bit thin.
Nominally there are three decision-making bodies in the European Union. They are the European Commission, the European Parliament, and the European Council of Ministers.

However the real power rests completely within the European Commission, which is selected and issues its diktats in such a secretive and random manner that it draws strong comparisons with old Communist Russia.

This EU Commission comprises 27 member countries and is re-formed once every five years, within six months of elections for the European Parliament.
The essential point to remember here is that the EU Commission is totally independent of all national governments. Its sole purpose is to represent and uphold the interests of the entire EU as a single entity.
GRAPHIC-162-EU logo -CThe main consequence of this is that the EU Commission is a law totally unto itself. It is accountable to nobody and exercises its own absolute arbitrary power.

Each President of that Commission is elected after secret deliberations between the governments of the member states. It should be remembered that the Commission President is the single most powerful political position within the entire EU. He or she has vastly greater powers than any individual country’s President or Prime Minister.

You might imagine that there would be uproar if individual democratic nations like Britain, Spain, France or Germany selected their Presidents and Prime-Ministers in such a manner. Not through proper elections, but by back-door horse-trading between political parties. Only the Soviet Russia of old, Communist China and other Communist countries like North Korea elect government in such a fashion.

Yet in the EU this is considered acceptable by all its member states. No wonder there are howls of protest from those who believe in transparent democracy and the importance of national sovereignty.

Once chosen, the President selects the other Commissioners, again through secret discussionsEU 38 Parliament with the member state governments.

It should be stressed that the EU President and its Commissioners are not MPs, MEPs, or democratically elected officials in any way. Most have never been elected to any office in their lives, yet they hold absolute and arbitrary power in the EU solely on the basis of having been secretly appointed to the Commission.

It is only then up to the European Parliament of elected MEPs to ‘approve’ the appointment of the proposed Commission members – not individually, but as a whole block of 27 people – amazingly by secret ballot and without debate.

With many MEPs being lackeys of the governments of member states – and with the secret ballot facilitating behind the scenes horse-trading and influence peddling – this ‘approval’ is nothing more than a cynical ‘rubber stamp’. It is done this way every time there is a new European Commission.

EU 13With arbitrary and unchecked power,  the European Commission alone dictates what legislation to initiate or repeal.

Commission diktats (directives or regulations) are formulated – again- in covert negotiations with interest groups, advisory bodies, non-government organisations (NGOs) and other unelected ‘public service’ busybodies and power-brokers.

This is like an open and festering wound of potential corruption and unacceptable influence without any form of countering antibiotic.

Once drafted through this process, any New Legislation is presented to the European Parliament. It in turn assigns various Committees of MEPs to examine the detail. Yet even the make-up of these Committees is determined indirectly by the Commission’s choice of which “competence” to use as its justification for the legislation in question.

Again, those Committees work through secretive deliberations with EU Ministers and civil servants, who give directives to political groups in the European Parliament so as to ensure the passage of its proposals.

Such laws are presented to the European Parliament only at the discretion of the European GRAPHIC-92-London(Sky)Commission. A new law is only presented for an up or down vote in a set-up where there is virtually no debate – MEPs are allowed to speak for at most one minute per person. As the actual EU legislative history shows, this ‘parliamentary ratification’ amounts to nothing more than the proverbial rubber stamp.

So it can be seen by anyone that the European Parliament has no power whatever.

MEPs are nominated by political parties in various European countries, so they are not elected directly by voters. Not always realised is that EU parliamentary elections only decide how many seats will be allotted to each party. The actual choice of the MEPs is entirely up to the party, not the voters.

This naturally means that – except for UKIP in Britain and a few other anti-EU parties – MEPs are generally lackeys of the EU. Under such circumstances there is no more opposition to the dictatorial Commission in the European Parliament than there was to Stalin in the Supreme Soviet.

The final decision-making body in this international democratic sham is the EU Council of Ministers.

Unsurprisingly the composition of this Council is also skewed. Member states assign to the Council those ministers who are most acquescent to the EU and will most readily go along with any diktat from the European Commission. Again, the history of EU legislation demonstrates that the Council of Ministers lacks any real authority whatsoever.
LION slave-C
Any objective conclusion is crystal-clear: The EU is virtually a bona fide Communist bloc run by its own Politburo (the European Commission) vested with the kind of absolute power of which Lenin or Stalin would have been proud.

Once EU laws are approved by the Council of Ministers and become European Law, they are presented to the British and other national parliaments. Here they can be debated them and a note made of certain provisions.

However, this is pointless because the only effective response an elected parliament may have is to invoke its ‘national veto’.

Originally a ‘national veto’ was supposed to guarantee the sovereignty of each EU member state but, as it is virtually never used, it has become obsolete. In fact even this measure will be lost forever in 2017 when new EU provisions are scheduled to revoke the veto power of individual states altogether.

The final chilling note is that EU LAWS ARE THE SUPREME LAW OF THE LAND THROUGHOUT EU TERRITORY, superseding the national laws and even the Constitutions of member nations. British and other national Courts are required to follow EU law unquestioningly, without the option to declare it ‘unconstitutional’ as can be done with domestic laws.
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Under these existing conditions it is clear that there is no ‘middle road’, ‘compromise,’ or ‘reform’ possible, such as Prime Minister David Cameron has claimed to have achieved prior to the promised EU Referendum.

It is a stark IN or OUT choice between national sovereignty and independent self-rule outside the EU – or perennial subjugation under the collective dictatorship of the political elite in Brussels to be known as the United States of Europe.

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BREXIT 20 Bulldog

WHY ISLAM IS AT WAR WITH ITSELF

Before the arrival of the Prophet Mohammed in the 7th century AD, the Arab world of the desert nomads believed mostly in the fiery spirits of the dunes and numerous other gods, as well as the patron gods of individual towns.

Although in the Arabian Peninsula and the surrounding regions, the influences of Judaism and Christianity had gradually become recognised in some areas.

Amongst the numerous deities of the time, Allah (the God) was rising above all others to be accepted as “the creator, provider and decider of human destiny”. Followers of Mohammed’s teachings grew into a powerful Islamic force to be reckoned with in a dark time of general immorality, violence and blood feuds.

Muslim armies broke out of Arabia and defeated the Persians (today’s Iranians, who are not ArabsARABIAN DESERT 4 and speak the Farsi language), putting an end to their Sasanian empire.

Thirty years after Mohammed’s death in 632AD, a row began over who should succeed the great prophet and become the ruler (or Caliph) of the rapidly growing Muslim empire (or Caliphate).

Descendants of the prophet’s cousin and son-in-law, Ali, believed it should be them. They formed the breakaway Shi’ite movement when, five years into his reign, Ali was assassinated and his two sons were denied succession by the rival Sunni faction.

To this day, the Shi’ites resent this historic act and hold a deep grudge against the religious opposition, the Sunnis, who were able to go on to claim the holiest of Islamic shrines, Mecca and Medina, to be on their land.

Fast-forward some 1,500 years and that land is now Saudi Arabia, which has only been in formal existence since 1932.

IRAN 1-CMeanwhile the Shi’ites have gone on to become the majority of the population in Iran, Iraq and Bahrain. Everywhere else is mostly Sunni. A status quo had developed in which the relaxed Sunni Arab Gulf States, headed by the Saudi Arabian monarchy , enjoyed friendly relations with the Shah of Shi’ite Iran and were happy to allow his navy to become police constable of the Gulf waters.

At this time Westerners and locals, in either Iran or Saudi Arabia, could wallow in alcohol-driven decadence and a very liberal lifestyle.

That was to come to a shuddering halt in 1979 with arrival of the radical Iranian Revolution and the deposing of the Shah of Iran. Almost overnight a contest arose between the two countries as to which was the most strict and worthy of being leaders of the Islamic world.

While Iran’s ayatollahs declared their intention to export of their Islamic revolution in defiance of the corrupt and unworthy monarchy of Riyadh, Saudi royalty responded by proving itself to be even more Islamic than its radical Islamic rivals.

Shaken by events, the House of Saud decided that its ultimate survival would be determined by its ARABIAN DESERT 7devotion to the strict Wahhabi interpretation of Islam, which allowed strict clerics a say in public life, education, justice and social behaviour.

This has resulted confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia, each promoting and contesting its own version of Islam, each trying to out- do the other.

Iran has spawned Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Palestine. It also backs the current majority Shi’ite governments of Iraq, Syria and the Houthi rebels of Yemen. Sunni Saudi Arabia stands accused of bankrolling Islamic jihadist extremism in the form of al-Qaeda and Da’esh (aka Islamic State).
ARABIAN DESERT 3
The battle between the two ancient religious ideologies – and the political and historical baggage attached to them – threatens to drag the entire modern world into its apocalyptic war of madness.

WORLD WAR 3 HAS BEGUN – BUT NO ONE’S NOTICED

by
Dixie Hughes

Dixie HughesDixie Hughes served in the British Royal Navy, where he attended Britannia Royal Naval College. Later he served in the Dorset Police and he is known for his passionate interest in the Middle East. He is also a founder member and contributor to Defensionem.com.
[This item is condensed from an original article on Defensionem.com]

With the imminent arrival of some 5000 Communist Chinese troops in Syria to assist the Russians in ridding the world of the extreme radical Islamic Da’esh (commonly known as Islamic State) movement, the conflict has unquestionably become “World War Three” in all but name. It’s just that no one seems to have noticed.
CHINESE TROOPS 1
The term “World War” is thought to have been first used in 1850 by Karl Marx in The Class Struggles in France. Its next appearance was as a literal translation of the German word ‘Weltkrieg’ by the German writer August Wilhelm Otto Niemann. He used the term in the title of his anti-British novel Der Weltkrieg: Deutsche Träume (or The World War: German Dreams) in 1904. It was also published in English as The Coming Conquest of England. Officially, the OED cites the first known usage in the English language as being in April 1909, in the pages of the Westminster Gazette.

The definition of a “world war” is a conflict that involves some of the world’s most powerful and most populous countries, spanning multiple countries on multiple continents, with battles fought in multiple theatres. It is also defined more simply, as a war involving many large nations in all different parts of the world.

Many historians have used the term “World War” to include the “War of the Spanish Succession”, the “Seven Years’ War” and the “Napoleonic Wars.”

It was only during the 20th Century that the world experienced two truly global conflicts which are generally recognised as the First and Second World Wars.

Since the latter ended with the explosion of two nuclear weapons, it has been generally assumed that any future conflict between the opposing power blocks of NATO and the Warsaw Pact would bring about Armageddon. Such an apocalyptic end to our civilisation would hopefully be prevented the certainty of aptly-named MAD – or “Mutual Assured Destruction”.

Nowadays such terrifying weapons are possessed not just by USA, UK, France and Russia, as previously; we now know that China, India and Pakistan also have them, and that it is generally accepted that Israel and North Korea do too.
NUKE
I think it was Einstein, who said something like, “I don’t know how World War 3 will be fought, but World War 4 will be fought with sticks and stones.”

But what if Einstein was wrong? Everyone, even Albert, is allowed one mistake. Can we really be certain that any Third World War would involve nuclear weapons at all?

I was told recently that “What’s happening in the Middle East is a side-show. The next World War will start in Europe or the Pacific.”

Though hardly a “side show”, what is happening in the Middle East is certainly only part of a much bigger picture, as I will illustrate.

If, by definition, a World War must be “a war that involves some of the world’s most powerful countries”, there is also nothing to say those countries had to start it. Or, indeed, have to be the main protagonists.

Surely involvement is the chief criteria. And does a World War actually have to be between countries at all?

A “war” can easily be between contrasting ideologies. If it takes place within one country, it would be called a “civil war”. If it spanned several countries, on different continents, with fighting in multiple theatres, involving some of the world’s most powerful nations; it would most certainly be called a “World War”.

So what have we got?

The Islamic religion is broadly divided into two main houses of faith, Sunni and Shi’ite. DA’ESH – calling itself Islamic State (IS) – is a Wahhabi-Salafist organization, which is opposed to all who aren’t of their Wahhabi-Salafist leaning.

However, it is the Shi’ites who are their main enemy and who comprise the vast majority of their victims
IS 6.
Da’esh has affiliates who are currently fighting in the Middle East and Asia (Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Afghanistan), in Africa, (Libya, Sinai, Algeria, Nigeria) and in Eastern Europe (Chechnya & Dagestan.) The would-be Caliphate also has followers active in Morocco, Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey, Israel and Palestine.

All this more than fits the multiple countries and continents criteria!

That other well-known Wahhabi-Salafist (Sunni) organisation, al-Qaeda, has affiliates operating in Africa, (the Magreb, Tunisia, Libya, Kenya and Somalia) and Asia (Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Indonesia and the Philippines.)

Major nations opposing them around the world include the USA, Great Britain, France and Russia. Now the Communist Chinese have joined the party big time.

Meanwhile in Yemen, Sunni Da’esh and al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, (AQAP) were losing their struggle against the Zaidi Shi’ite Houthis and the bulk of the Yemeni Army.

However, Da’esh and al-Qaeda jihadis are now being enthusiastically supported by the Saudi-led coalition of Gulf Co-operation Council States (UAE, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain, as well as Egypt, Morocco, Jordan and Sudan). These are all Sunni nations.

The coalition’s airstrikes, which are actually assisted by the United States, appear to have turned the tide.

On the ground, troops Saudi Arabia and UAE troops are fighting openly alongside Daʿesh and al-Qaeda to defeat the Shi’ite Houthis.
Back in Iraq, Da’esh (IS) is opposed by the Iranian-supported Shi’ite Militias, the Kurdish Peshmerga and parts of the Iraqi army. Sunnis in the Iraqi army have an unsurprising propensity to run away or defect when confronted by Da’esh.

From Baghdad the fight against Da’esh is supported by US-led coalition air force operations including planes from the USA itself, Australia, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Turkey and the UK. Just to add to the confusion, Turkey, with its Sunni administration, has in fact carried out more airstrikes against the separatist Kurds than it has against Da’esh.
In Syria, the fight against the Alawite (a Shi’ite Sect) regime of President Assad, on the ground is led by Da’esh and al-Nusrah (al-Qaeda in Syria).

At the leadership level there is disagreement between them, but their ideologies remain the same (Wahhabi-Salafist).

Ranged against them, supporting President Assad are the Iranian-backed Shi’ite Hezbollah, Iranian and Russian forces. And now the Communist Chinese.

Of course Turkey, which borders Syria, confuses the local issue even further. The current, Turkish (Sunni) regime also want rid of Assad, but not as much as they want rid of the independence-seeking Kurds. It just so happens that Kurdish fighters are the most effective ground force against Da’esh that the US is prepared to support.
GRAPHIC-19-KurdFemTroops(NBC)
This clearly international conflict is in fact really between Sunni and Shi’ite Muslims.

If the West is serious about defeating Da’esh (aka Islamic State), it must take a pragmatic approach and co-operate with Russia and Iran. In this particular fight, they are the allies it needs. If that means leaving President Assad in place for now, so be it.

But it also has to recognise that this is a world-wide Muslim war. The necessary counter force of “boots-on-the-ground” have to be Muslim, ie. Kurdish and Iranian. The West and Russia must limit themselves to support operations, Special Forces activity and airstrikes, as at present.

SAS 3So, the news is most definitely that World War Three has already started, though – or perhaps because – nuclear weapons are not (yet) involved, nobody appears to have noticed.

SYRIA IS A SIMPLE CASE OF BLACK AND WHITE – OR GOOD AND BAD

My unofficial briefing to anyone who is confused (including our politicians) courtesy of

ANONYMOUSANONYMOUS
The originator of this article cannot be traced; when and if he or she is, they will be credited for their excellent analysis and presentation
[Edited]

President Assad of Syria (who is bad) is a nasty guy who got so nasty that his people rebelled and the rebels (who are good) started winning (hurrah!).

Then some of the rebels turned a bit nasty too and started calling themselves Islamic State ( which is definitely bad!). But other rebels continued to support democracy (and they are still good)

So the Americans (who are good) started bombing Islamic State (who are very bad) and giving arms to the other Syrian rebels (who are good) so they could fight Assad (who is still bad), which was good.

GRAPHIC-52 - Kurd in Kobane(D.Mail)By the way, there is a breakaway state in the north of neighbouring Turkey run by the Kurds who want to fight Islamic State (which is a good thing). But the Turkish authorities think that they are bad, so we have to say they are bad, whilst secretly thinking that they’re good and giving them guns to fight Islamic State (which is good) but that is another matter.

Getting back to Syria…

So President Putin of Russia (who is bad, because he invaded Crimea and the Ukraine) has decided to back Assad (who is still bad) by attacking Islamic State – which is sort of a good thing.

But Putin (still bad) thinks the other Syrian rebels ( who are good ) are in fact also bad, and so he bombs them too. That is much to the annoyance of the Americans (who are still good) who are busy backing and arming the good Syrian rebels.
IS 6
Now Iran (which used to be bad, but now they have agreed not to build any nuclear weapons and bomb Israel are now considered good) are going to provide ground troops to support President Assad (still bad) as are the Russians (bad) who now have their own ground troops and aircraft in Syria.

PutinSo a Coalition of Assad (still bad), Putin (extra bad) and the Iranians (good, but in a bad sort of way) are going to attack Islamic State (who have become exceedingly bad) which is a good thing. But they’re also attacking the good Syrian rebels – which is terribly bad!

Now the British (obviously good, except that nice Mr Corbyn in the corduroy jacket, who is probably bad) and the Americans (also good) cannot attack President Assad (still bad) for fear of upsetting Putin (bad) and Iran (good and bad) and now they have to accept that Assad might not be that bad after all compared to Islamic State (who are the baddest people on the planet).

So bad Assad is now probably good, being better than Islamic State. And since Putin and Iran are also fighting Islamic State, that may now also make them good. Or at the very least better.

America (still good) will find it hard to arm a group of rebels being attacked by the Russians for fear of upsetting Mr Putin (now good) and that nice mad Ayatollah in Iran (also good) and so they may be forced to say that the good rebels are now bad – or at the very least abandon them to their fate.

RAF Typhoons

RAF Typhoons

This will lead most of them to flee to Turkey and on to Europe or join Islamic State (still the only consistently baddest people).

To Sunni Muslims, an attack by Shia Muslims (Assad and Iran) backed by Russians will be seen as something of a “Holy War”, and the ranks of Islamic State will now be seen by the Sunnis as the only jihadis fighting in the Holy War – and hence many good Muslims may now also see Islamic State as good.

Sunni Muslims will also see the lack of action by Britain and America in support of their good Sunni rebel brothers as something of a betrayal and thence see them as bad.

So now we have America (now bad) and Britain (also bad) providing limited support to Sunni rebels (bad), many of whom are looking to Islamic State (good and bad) for support against Assad (now good) who, along with Iran (also good) and Putin (also, now, unbelievably, good) are attempting to retake the country Assad used to run before all this started?

I hope that clears all this up for you.
GRAPHIC-39-British Lion

COMRADE CORBYN IS RIGHT THIS TIME ON SYRIA

Everyone’s spoiling for a fight with the medieval Islamic death cult of Daesh (or Islamic State as it grandly calls itself) – including me.

Prime Minister Cameron wants to earn his credentials as a gun-toting sheriff to take on the bad guys with the black hats and the black flags. But for Britain to go bowling into the madness that is Syria would be pointless to the point of dangerous lunacy.

Jeremy Corbyn

Jeremy Corbyn

On this vexing subject, new pacifist Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has made the right call, along with UKIP’s world-wise Nigel Farage – so he is not alone.

Syria’s unpleasant President Assad has the country sewn up with some 50% of the rigged vote. His opposition is a disparate bunch of whom only another 50% share the West’s vision of democracy. Therefore there can be no winning strategy or clear exit plan.

The Russians (who have supported Assad long-term and want his Mediterranean naval facilities) have already check-mated the West by allying themselves against all his enemies.

As you will see in the last post, there is little the RAF can contribute in Syria. Arguably they have enough to do against IS in Iraq, which is the UK’s recent legacy.
Believe it or not, Comrade Corbyn is right this time.
Syria is a private party between the Syrians and their Russian guests. The west is not invited.
FREEDOM CITY
Our wisest option is to allow no disillusioned British or European poopers from that party back home (remove passports and citizenship) and get refugees funded by Saudi Arabia and its allies under the United Nations.

If Russia successfully finishes off Islamic State in Syria, refugees can decide to go back home.

It gives the West the opportunity to form a diplomatic understanding with Putin that may possibly involve a political change in Damascus that doesn’t leave Assad in complete control. The current opportunity should not be squandered because of sour grapes.
IS 1-C
Meanwhile the West should concentrate in knocking seven bells out of Daesh in Iraq and supporting the Kurds there. George Bush and Tony Blair made Iraq our domain and it is our responsibility to leave it in better shape than we found it.

An achievement that so far is a long way off.

RAF Typhoons

RAF Typhoons

WHY THE RAF CAN’T DELIVER THE PUNCH CAMERON WANTS IN SYRIA

Contributed by Sharkey Ward

Air ace Starkey Ward

Air ace Starkey Ward

Falklands War air ace and Harrier squadron commander
[Edited]

Things do not auger well for Britain’s future land-based air participation by the Royal Air Force in the fight against Islamic State (IS) targets.

It is understood that the UK’s Eurofighter aircraft – now dramatically named ‘Typhoons’ – simply lack the necessary independent laser targeting and interdiction ability to destroy the death cult’s ground assets. This was clearly demonstrated during the Libyian conflict – despite a huge investment by the Government to try and give the aircraft a truly multi-role capability.

Continuing such investment is unquestionably throwing more good money after bad.

The Typhoons’ operational limitations leave Britain with the obsolete Tornado as its fighter-bomber. That is also costing the taxpayer huge amounts of money in order to keep some of the airframes operationally capable.

But even more important than wasting taxpayers’ money – and quite another matter – is to deliberately send ill-equipped aircrew “into harm’s way”.

The Tornado would not be able to evade a Russian S-400 surface-to-air missile.

RAF Typhoons

RAF Typhoons

Of course, the risk factor from this and other surface-to-air missile defence systems over contested territory could have been mitigated by the procurement of few A/E-18 Super Growler defence suppression aircraft.

These aircraft are able to identify interrogating enemy air defence radars and blind them by “jamming” and other technologies.

The RAF or Royal Navy could have afforded two of these for the price of one Typhoon or one F35B STOVL aircraft. Such a purchase would have enabled relatively safe operations by Tornado over Syria.

(I hardly dare point out – again – that Britain could have purchased three proven F-18 Super Hornet multi-role fighter aircraft for the cost of one Typhoon or F35.)

The vulnerability of the Tornados’ low-level attack profile to air defences was amply demonstrated way back in Desert Storm when eight RAF aircraft were lost, mainly during operations against Saddam Hussein’s airfields.

Some may remember reliable press reports of a near-mutiny by Tornado squadron aircrew in Kuwait because of their high loss rate and the plane’s ‘suicidal’ attack profile. Allegedly one squadron expressed its firm desire to ‘down tools’ en masse and return to the UK.

Further, both Libya and Afghanistan must be considered operational failures as far as the Tornado is concerned. The aircraft was not reactive to urgent “ground support” tasks, even though it was not opposed by any sophisticated form of air defence – just shoulder-launched missiles and small arms – and it stayed well out of range of these infantry weapons when delivering ordnance.

Indeed, it is little known outside the military that in Afghanistan the original RAF Harrier squadrons would respond to urgent requests for close air support in less than half an hour (wheels off the ground in 15 minutes).

But when Tornados took over, just weeks before SDSR 2010, ground forces were informed by the Tornado hierarchy that all requests for “close air support” had to be submitted 24 hours in advance.
IS 1-C
Shockingly, I understand that the Tornados flew lengthy sorties at high level, clocking up the hours to create the false impression that they were being effective in that combat theatre.

Until now in Iraq, RAF Tornado and Voyager missions have remained well above the range of ground-based small arms and shoulder-launched missiles when attacking IS targets.

Tornado

Tornado

Some might say unkindly that they are, in the main, boring holes in the sky (just as they did in Afghanistan) to create the impression of some combat utility.

After all, an occasional pickup truck destroyed by an expensive Brimstone missile can hardly be said to be a game-changer in the war against Islamic State.

However, Russia’s introduction of the S-400 anti-aircraft missile into the Syrian theatre is a major game changer (all targets up to 90,000 feet and within a 250 miles range).

If pressed, Moscow might use the missile and, if in Syrian air-space, gallant RAF aircrew could be lost. I am reminded of Guernica and the Spanish Civil War, when Hitler’s Luftwaffe tested its weapons with impunity. Would Putin do the same?

For example, any Western “coalition” aircraft conducting missions over Syria could be ‘taken out’ by the Russian missile and Putin/Assad would no doubt argue that under international law the coalition aircraft had no right to be using weapons of war in sovereign Syrian territory.

The Russians have already alluded to this by criticising some of the air strikes made by the French following the radical Islamist terror attack in Paris.

By default, Putin and the S-400 threat have now ‘created’ a pretty effective no fly zone.

The situation is a complete mess and, as far as Britain’s efforts are concerned, its military is becoming a laughing stock.

RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus is only 70 nautical miles from Syria. Britain owns approximately 100 Typhoon and 75 Tornado aircraft. So why has it been unable to do more in Iraq? The answer is that it has the wrong aircraft with the wrong weapon systems and it lacks any vital AA suppression capability.

This state of affairs says little for those in the RAF who plan British air power and provide the Government with such dreadfully partisan advice.

In the light of all the above (and the Tornado’s dreadful track record) is it not extraordinary that the Government’s Ministry of Defence has seen fit to appoint two Tornado officers to take charge of the new Royal Navy carriers and their air groups?

It hardly bodes well for the future of Britain’s global national security and defence.

HMS Queen Elizabeth Photo by BAE

HMS Queen Elizabeth
Photo by BAE